StateVerge

Iraq

Middle East

Iraq is an important country in Middle East with evolving economic, governance, and long-term strategic potential.

Evolution Engine

Track time, scenarios, and causal chains for this country.

Recent evolution summary

Iraq's Journey Through Turmoil to Stability

From a war-torn nation grappling with sectarian violence and insurgency, Iraq has made strides towards political stability and economic recovery. However, challenges remain as the government works to unify diverse ethnic groups and combat corruption.

  • Emergence from the shadows of ISIS control.
  • Increased international investment and aid.
  • Ongoing protests demanding government accountability and reform.

Monitor the effectiveness of government reforms and the impact of regional geopolitical tensions on Iraq's stability.

Capital

Baghdad

Population

45,000,000

GDP

$260,000,000,000

Overall Score

71

Risk 48Opportunity 80

Power Tracking

Composite power (independent of overall): weighted economy, innovation, infrastructure, governance, openness, future potential.

Power score

71.7

Regional Power

Power trend

stableΔ vs prior snapshot:

Power baseline recorded (no prior snapshot).

Classification

Regional Power

Power drivers (signals)

  • Future potential score 79 — structural weight in power model.
  • Economy score 74 — structural weight in power model.
  • Infrastructure score 73 — structural weight in power model.

Dimension Scores

Governance68
Social Order72
Economy74
Human Capital68
Infrastructure73
Innovation66
Openness70
Future Potential79

AI Evolution Insight

Structured JSON: headline, trend, drivers, weaknesses, strategic takeaway.

Headline

Iraq shows strong potential for growth amidst regional power dynamics.

Trend:rising

Drivers

  • Economic growth driven by oil exports
  • Improving social order and governance
  • High future potential and opportunities in various sectors

Weaknesses

  • Political instability and security risks
  • Dependence on oil revenue

Strategic takeaway

Iraq's regional power status is bolstered by a growing economy and improving governance. Addressing political challenges will be crucial to fully harness its potential.

Latest Events

No recent events.

Recent Event Impact Summary

No events to summarize.

Latest Score Change

Not enough snapshot history yet.

Latest update note: Initial bulk import

Evolution Summary

Rule engine: snapshots, trends, event_consequences, and chains. Direction signal is always recomputed from data; optional wording may be cached in ai_insights_cache.

Direction signal

stable

Iraq's recent evaluations indicate a stable position within the available ledger. The overall trend is stable, although there is insufficient historical data to draw definitive conclusions.

Key turning points

    Key drivers

    • Latest overall score: 71
    • Power score: 71.7 (model)

    Risks

    • No significant negative dimension drift observed in the current snapshot window.

    Narrative Graph Summary

    Rule-built graph from PostgreSQL (nodes/edges computed server-side); wording may be cached under narrative-graph:iq.

    In Iraq, there is currently 1 node and no edges, indicating a stable snapshot window trend. The overall ledger stands at approximately 71, with a risk level of around 48.

    Key paths